Recent Posts
Is It a Purge?
Pam Bondi is out as Attorney General. Randy George, the Army Chief of Staff, has been dismissed. Now The Atlantic reports active discussions inside the administration about firing FBI Director Kash Patel, Army Secretary Dan Driscoll, and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer.
So: is it a purge?
Call it what it is. A purge is not defined by the politics of the victims — it is defined by the velocity, the opacity, and the logic of elimination.
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The Convenience Yield Is Gone. The Bill Is Coming.
For decades, U.S. Treasury securities commanded a pricing premium that economists call the convenience yield — the extra return investors were willing to forgo in exchange for holding the world’s most liquid, safest, most universally accepted collateral. That premium is eroding. The GAO’s March 2026 federal debt management report (GAO-26-107529) treats this as a structural shift, not a market fluctuation, and the data support that reading.
The convenience yield is not directly observable.
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The Debt Ceiling Is a Self-Inflicted Market Risk
The debt limit is, in strict operational terms, a fiction. Congress authorizes spending through the appropriations process. It authorizes revenue through the tax code. The debt that results from the gap between those two is mathematically determined. The debt limit then arrives as a third act — a separate legislative mechanism that can block Treasury from issuing the securities needed to pay obligations Congress has already created. It does not constrain spending.
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Victory Lap, Closed Strait: Trump Signals Iran Exit Without Reopening Hormuz
The Wall Street Journal reported Monday that President Trump has told aides he is prepared to wind down the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran while leaving the Strait of Hormuz largely closed — deferring what he views as an operationally complex reopening mission to a later phase, or to allies. The calculation is blunt: forcing the strait open would push the conflict past his stated four-to-six-week timeline, and Trump has decided that isn’t a price he’s willing to pay.
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From Deterrence to Momentum: The Logic Behind the Largest U.S. Middle East Buildup in 20 Years
The deployment of thousands of additional U.S. Marines into the Middle East is being framed as a deterrent measure, a stabilizing move intended to prevent further escalation. That framing, while technically correct, obscures a more consequential shift already underway. What is emerging is not a static posture designed to hold the line, but a dynamic configuration of forces that lowers the barrier to action. Deterrence, in this context, is blending into operational momentum.
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Iran Is Building the Coalition Against Itself
There is a particular kind of strategic failure that is almost admirable in its consistency. Iran, in the weeks since February 28, has managed to accomplish what years of American diplomacy could not: convincing a fractured, mutually suspicious Middle East that it has a common enemy. It has done so not through miscalculation at the margins, but through a sustained, multi-front campaign that has struck neutrals, allies, and American assets with equal indifference.
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Congressional Pressure Builds for Transparency in U.S.–Iran Conflict
The tone coming out of Washington is shifting, and not in a subtle way. A group of Democratic members on the House Armed Services Committee, led by Congressman John Garamendi, is openly pressing for immediate public testimony from the Department of Defense regarding the ongoing U.S. military actions tied to Iran. The request, directed to committee chairman Mike Rogers, signals growing unease not just about the conflict itself, but about how little clarity Congress feels it has over its scope, objectives, and trajectory.
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Lawmakers Push Back on Plutonium Pit Production, Question Scope, Cost, and Strategy
A new letter from John Garamendi and Elizabeth Warren lands squarely in the middle of a long-running, uneasy debate over the future of the United States’ nuclear weapons infrastructure. Writing to Department of Energy Secretary Chris Wright, the two lawmakers are urging a serious reassessment of the plutonium pit production program, with a specific call to pause work at the Savannah River Site until clear guardrails are in place to prevent further waste of taxpayer money.
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USPS at a Financial Crossroads: GAO Warns the Clock Is Ticking
The latest report from the U.S. Government Accountability Office lands with a familiar thud but a sharper edge than before: the United States Postal Service is still running an unsustainable business model, and time is no longer a vague concept stretched over decades but a very real countdown measured in just a few fiscal years. Despite a sweeping ten-year strategy launched in 2021 and substantial congressional relief delivered through the Postal Service Reform Act of 2022, the GAO concludes that the fundamentals remain stubbornly misaligned.
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UK to Host International Fund for Israeli-Palestinian Peace Meeting, March 2026, Lancaster House
A surprising sense of momentum runs through the UK’s latest diplomatic move, almost as if the political establishment finally caught up with what so many ordinary people have been quietly insisting for years. With public backing at levels that politicians usually only dream of, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper has confirmed that she will convene the inaugural meeting of the International Fund for Israeli-Palestinian Peace this coming March at Lancaster House. The tone of the announcement felt unusually confident for a government that often treads cautiously on foreign-policy landmines, probably because the numbers make the argument for them: 84% of UK respondents who expressed an opinion support the creation of the Fund, and 87% say Britain should put in at least £5 million.
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